1 Jul 2022 11:10

Former U.S. secretary of state says Ukraine crisis has three possible outcomes - The Spectator

LONDON. July 1 (Interfax) - There are three possible outcomes of the Ukraine crisis, according to former U.S. Secretary of State, former National Security Advisory Henry Kissinger.

The first outcome is Russia "conquering 20% of Ukraine," most of Donbas and "a strip of land along the Black Sea," Kissinger said in an interview with a British magazine, The Spectator. He believes "it will be a victory" for Moscow, while "the role of NATO will not be as decisive as earlier thought."

"The other outcome is an attempt is made to drive Russia out of the territory it acquired before this war, including Crimea, and then the issue of a war with Russia itself will arise," Kissinger said.

The third scenario is "the battleline returns to the position" as of the beginning of the Russian special military operation, Kissinger said. In this case, Ukraine "will be rearmed and closely connected to NATO, if not part of it," he said.

"It will be a substantial achievement for the allies. NATO will have been strengthened by the addition of Finland and Sweden, creating the possibility of defense of the Baltic countries. Ukraine will have the largest conventional ground force in Europe linked to NATO," Kissinger said.