12 Apr 2011 17:14

Raspadskaya could double 2010 IFRS earnings to $247 mln - analysts

MOSCOW. April 12 (Interfax) - Russian coking coal producer Raspadskaya could have more than doubled net profit to International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) to $247 million in 2010, analysts told Interfax in a consensus forecast.

However H2 2010 results range from $58 million losses to $91 million profit for a median of $19 million profit, down 91.7% from H1 2010 and 85.1% from H2 20009 due to the accident that put its flagship in out of operation in May.

Consensus forecast for Raspadskaya, $ mln:

Analysts Sales revenue EBITDA Net profit/loss
Deutsche Bank 197 133 91
JPMorgan 238 61 3
Morgan Stanley 250 150 74
UBS 239 60 -58
Unicredit Securities 230 83 16
Alfa-Bank 231 96 17
Bank of Moscow 241 94 -5
BrokerCreditService 238 138 59
VTB Capital 265 122 30
Otkritie 240 69 -15
Renaissance Capital 232 81 4
Troika Dialog 234 63 23
Uralsib Capital 240 65 11
Consensus 237 93 19
H1 2010 466 259 228
H1 2010/H1 2010 -50% -64.3% -91.6%
H1 2009 349 192 128
H2 2010/H2 2009 -32.2% -52.4% -85.1%
2010 (forecast) 703 352 247
2009 (result) 497 255 117
2010/2009 +41.4% +38.2% +110%

It is expected Raspadskaya will unveil the results on April 13.